Birmingham vs Watford
Final Result
2:1
Birmingham to win
Our Prediction
Correct
48.5%
Birmingham to win
±14.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins |
48.55%
±14.57%
|
1.84 | -10.9% |
| Draw |
28.09%
±3.76%
|
3.55 | -0.3% |
| Watford wins |
23.37%
±11.11%
|
4.27 | -0.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Birmingham
Watford
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Birmingham
Watford
Shots
15.3
15.1
Shots On Target
4.7
5.5
Corners
5.5
4.7
Fouls
10.0
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Birmingham
Watford
Shots
12.2
11.2
Shots On Target
3.5
4.5
Corners
3.7
5.7
Fouls
13.2
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Birmingham Wins
0Draws
1Watford Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2024 | Watford Win | 0:1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Watford Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Mar 2023 | Watford Win | 3:0 |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Watford Win | 3:0 |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Norwich | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Portsmouth | 4:0 | W |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | Preston | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Derby | 2:3 | W |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Bristol City | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Ipswich | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 3:0 | W |