Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
56.94%
±13.96%
|
1.61 | -8.3% |
| Draw |
26.64%
±5.17%
|
3.95 | +5.2% |
| Toulouse wins |
16.41%
±8.98%
|
5.63 | -7.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Toulouse
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Toulouse
Shots
14.5
14.6
Shots On Target
6.8
4.1
Corners
4.9
5.6
Fouls
12.9
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Toulouse
Shots
14.3
9.8
Shots On Target
5.2
3.8
Corners
4.8
4.0
Fouls
10.7
9.3
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
5Draws
2Toulouse Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2025 | Marseille Win | 3:2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:3 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Marseille Win | 2:3 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1:5 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Auxerre | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Angers | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Lens | 2:1 | L |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Angers | 0:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | L |