Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins |
42.76%
±14.73%
|
1.76 | -24.7% |
| Draw |
29.2%
±2.87%
|
3.45 | +0.7% |
| Genoa wins Top Bet |
28.04%
±12.31%
|
5.00 | +40.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Genoa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lecce
Genoa
Shots
9.8
11.5
Shots On Target
2.8
3.3
Corners
4.0
3.8
Fouls
13.2
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Genoa
Shots
14.3
8.7
Shots On Target
2.5
3.0
Corners
6.5
3.2
Fouls
12.2
12.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
1Draws
2Genoa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 14 Mar 2025 | Genoa Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Genoa Win | 2:1 |
| 22 Sep 2023 | Lecce Win | 1:0 |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Sassuolo | 2:3 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Juventus | 0:1 | L |
| 1 May 2026 | Pisa | 1:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Verona | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Fiorentina | 1:1 | D |
Genoa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Milan | 1:2 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Fiorentina | 0:0 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Atalanta | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Como | 0:2 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Pisa | 1:2 | W |