Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins Top Bet |
58.09%
±14.17%
|
2.14 | +24.1% |
| Draw |
22.68%
±4.23%
|
3.62 | -17.9% |
| Stoke wins |
19.23%
±10.13%
|
3.07 | -40.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cardiff
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cardiff
Stoke
Shots
17.0
11.2
Shots On Target
6.2
2.9
Corners
7.3
6.1
Fouls
10.2
13.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cardiff
Stoke
Shots
11.0
9.6
Shots On Target
3.9
3.5
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.1
4.5
Fouls
9.8
11.2
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cardiff Wins
3Draws
6Stoke Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Stoke Win | 0:1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Cardiff Win | 2:1 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | 2:0 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | QPR | 2:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sheffield United | 2:2 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Derby | 2:2 | D |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Charlton | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolves | 4:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolverhampton | 4:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Southampton | 3:1 | L |