Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova wins |
37.6%
±14.74%
|
2.13 | -19.9% |
| Draw |
26.4%
±1.72%
|
3.18 | -16.1% |
| Ascoli wins Top Bet |
36%
±13.87%
|
3.17 | +14.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Padova
Ascoli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Padova
Ascoli
Shots
11.2
12.4
Shots On Target
3.8
3.9
Corners
4.0
5.8
Fouls
14.8
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Cremonese | 3:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Verona | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Pisa | 0:1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Pisa | - | - |
| 8 May 2026 | Cesena | 3:4 | W |
Ascoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Benevento | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Carrarese | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Verona | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Verona | - | - |
| 10 May 2024 | Pisa | 2:1 | W |