Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins |
53.08%
±14.34%
|
1.75 | -7.1% |
| Draw |
27%
±4.42%
|
4.00 | +8.0% |
| Mainz wins |
19.92%
±10.16%
|
4.27 | -15.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stuttgart
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Stuttgart
Mainz
Shots
15.1
13.1
Shots On Target
5.6
3.0
Corners
6.1
5.7
Fouls
10.7
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stuttgart
Mainz
Shots
12.6
12.0
Shots On Target
5.7
3.8
Corners
4.6
5.1
Fouls
10.1
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stuttgart Wins
6Draws
3Mainz Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Mainz Win | 2:0 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Stuttgart Win | 3:1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Stuttgart Win | 1:3 |
| 21 May 2023 | Stuttgart Win | 1:4 |
Stuttgart - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Wolfsburg | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Heidenheim | 1:0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | FC Koln | 1:2 | W |
| 19 Sep 2025 | St Pauli | 2:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Freiburg | 3:1 | L |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 3:4 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Hamburg | 4:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dortmund | 0:2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Augsburg | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | RB Leipzig | 0:1 | L |