Accrington vs Swindon
Final Result
4:0
Accrington to win
Our Prediction
Missed
42.4%
Swindon to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington wins |
28.19%
±12.76%
|
3.73 | +5.0% |
| Draw |
29.41%
±1.83%
|
3.50 | +2.9% |
| Swindon wins |
42.4%
±13.68%
|
1.90 | -19.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Accrington
Swindon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Accrington
Swindon
Shots
12.6
12.7
Shots On Target
3.8
5.3
Corners
4.5
4.9
Fouls
14.1
11.7
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Accrington
Swindon
Shots
16.3
12.3
Shots On Target
5.7
3.5
Corners
5.8
5.5
Fouls
15.2
9.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Accrington Wins
3Draws
2Swindon Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Accrington Win | 1:2 |
| 28 Nov 2023 | Swindon Win | 3:4 |
| 6 Mar 2021 | Accrington Win | 2:1 |
Accrington - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | Newport County | 0:1 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Barnet | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Walsall | 1:3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Colchester | 1:0 | W |
Swindon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Newport County | 0:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Bromley | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Salford | 3:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Harrogate | 3:1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2025 | Barrow | 1:3 | W |