English League One 14 Feb 2026 10:00 Match Finished

Exeter vs Northampton

Our Prediction Missed
50.3% Exeter to win

±14.7%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Exeter wins
50.34% ±14.71%
1.86 -6.6%
Draw
26.66% ±3.82%
3.33 -11.4%
Northampton wins
23% ±11.16%
3.90 -10.3%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Exeter
Northampton

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Exeter
Northampton
Shots 11.8 10.7
Shots On Target 4.0 3.3
Corners 4.2 5.4
Fouls 11.5 8.8
Yellow Cards 2.5 1.6
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Exeter
Northampton
Shots 9.6 12.5
Shots On Target 3.0 5.0
Corners 4.8 4.0
Fouls 11.8 11.8
Yellow Cards 2.2 1.8
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Exeter Wins

1

Draws

2

Northampton Wins

5
Date Result Score
23 Aug 2025 Northampton Win 2:0
1 Mar 2025 Draw 1:1
17 Aug 2024 Northampton Win 2:1
20 Apr 2024 Exeter Win 1:2
30 Sep 2023 Northampton Win 0:2

Exeter - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Feb 2026 Mansfield 0:0 D
31 Jan 2026 Rotherham 0:4 L
27 Jan 2026 Reading 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Port Vale 1:3 W
17 Jan 2026 Stevenage 3:0 W

Northampton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Feb 2026 Stevenage 3:1 W
3 Feb 2026 Barnsley 2:2 D
31 Jan 2026 Reading 0:2 L
27 Jan 2026 Rotherham 2:1 L
24 Jan 2026 Blackpool 2:0 L