La Liga Primera Division 9 Nov 2025 10:15 Match Finished

Vallecano vs Real Madrid

Our Prediction Missed
69.8% Real Madrid to win

±10.1%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Vallecano wins
8.11% ±5.25%
5.50 -55.4%
Draw
22.09% ±4.92%
4.80 +6.0%
Real Madrid wins
69.8% ±10.05%
1.51 +5.0%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Vallecano
Real Madrid

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Vallecano
Real Madrid
Shots 12.4 19.8
Shots On Target 4.2 7.8
Corners 6.5 5.8
Fouls 13.1 10.5
Yellow Cards 2.3 2.0
Red Cards 0.1 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Vallecano
Real Madrid
Shots 14.2 14.0
Shots On Target 4.9 4.8
Corners 3.9 6.4
Fouls 17.1 9.2
Yellow Cards 3.5 2.6
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Vallecano Wins

1

Draws

3

Real Madrid Wins

4
Date Result Score
9 Mar 2025 Real Madrid Win 2:1
14 Dec 2024 Draw 3:3
18 Feb 2024 Draw 1:1
5 Nov 2023 Draw 0:0
24 May 2023 Real Madrid Win 2:1

Vallecano - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Nov 2025 Villarreal 4:0 L
26 Oct 2025 Alaves 1:0 W
19 Oct 2025 Levante 0:3 W
5 Oct 2025 Sociedad 0:1 W
28 Sep 2025 Sevilla 0:1 L

Real Madrid - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Nov 2025 Valencia 4:0 W
26 Oct 2025 Barcelona 2:1 W
19 Oct 2025 Getafe 0:1 W
4 Oct 2025 Villarreal 3:1 W
27 Sep 2025 Ath Madrid 5:2 L