Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
22.02%
±11.35%
|
3.35 | -26.2% |
| Draw |
32.35%
±2.87%
|
3.30 | +6.8% |
| Arsenal wins |
45.63%
±13.65%
|
2.20 | +0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Arsenal
Shots
14.2
15.2
Shots On Target
5.7
5.2
Corners
6.4
7.3
Fouls
11.5
9.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
0.8
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Arsenal
Shots
12.6
13.5
Shots On Target
3.1
4.8
Corners
5.0
5.0
Fouls
10.1
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
1Draws
2Arsenal Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | Arsenal Win | 1:0 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 2 May 2023 | Arsenal Win | 3:1 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sunderland | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:3 | W |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0:2 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 0:1 | W |