Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
39.6%
Aston Villa to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins |
30.33%
±13.2%
|
2.68 | -18.9% |
| Draw |
30.07%
±1.64%
|
3.55 | +6.7% |
| Aston Villa wins |
39.61%
±13.55%
|
2.50 | -1.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Shots
13.8
14.1
Shots On Target
4.8
5.0
Corners
5.7
5.3
Fouls
11.8
9.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Shots
12.0
14.8
Shots On Target
4.5
5.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
6.1
6.5
Fouls
15.5
11.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
3.5
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bournemouth Wins
2Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 4:0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa Win | 3:1 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 3:2 | W |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 3:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 2:3 | L |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |