Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
50.22%
±14.39%
|
1.89 | -5.1% |
| Draw |
28.94%
±4.34%
|
3.40 | -1.6% |
| Paris FC wins |
20.84%
±10.32%
|
4.30 | -10.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Paris FC
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Toulouse
Paris FC
Shots
13.1
9.1
Shots On Target
5.2
3.0
Corners
4.7
3.3
Fouls
14.8
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Paris FC
Shots
10.4
9.2
Shots On Target
4.0
3.0
Corners
5.8
4.4
Fouls
14.2
13.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
3Draws
1Paris FC Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Toulouse Win | 0:3 |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Toulouse Win | 2:1 |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 1 May 2021 | Paris FC Win | 3:1 |
| 5 Jan 2021 | Toulouse Win | 1:0 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Le Havre | 2:1 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Angers | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Brest | 0:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Nice | 5:1 | W |
Paris FC - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lens | 0:5 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Marseille | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Angers | 0:0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Nantes | 1:2 | W |