Bournemouth vs Burnley
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
60.9%
Bournemouth to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins |
60.95%
±13.66%
|
1.48 | -10.1% |
| Draw |
23.51%
±5.05%
|
4.47 | +5.0% |
| Burnley wins |
15.54%
±8.76%
|
6.38 | -0.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bournemouth
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bournemouth
Burnley
Shots
13.1
8.9
Shots On Target
5.7
3.8
Corners
5.0
4.2
Fouls
13.5
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bournemouth
Burnley
Shots
11.7
14.0
Shots On Target
4.3
6.3
Corners
5.0
6.3
Fouls
10.3
9.7
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bournemouth Wins
2Draws
0Burnley Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2024 | Bournemouth Win | 0:2 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Bournemouth Win | 2:1 |
| 22 Feb 2020 | Burnley Win | 3:0 |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Man United | 4:4 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 0:0 | D |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 3:2 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 2:2 | D |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 2:3 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:1 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 0:2 | L |