Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
52.05%
±14.73%
|
1.83 | -4.6% |
| Draw |
27.26%
±4.38%
|
3.69 | +0.6% |
| Atalanta wins |
20.69%
±10.61%
|
4.13 | -14.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Atalanta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Atalanta
Shots
13.2
13.4
Shots On Target
5.0
4.4
Corners
3.3
3.2
Fouls
10.8
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Atalanta
Shots
12.9
12.4
Shots On Target
4.9
3.7
Corners
3.4
5.2
Fouls
10.2
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
3Draws
3Atalanta Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Atalanta Win | 2:3 |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Atalanta Win | 0:1 |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Atalanta Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Lecce | 3:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lazio | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Venezia | 2:0 | W |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Venezia | 3:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Juventus | 2:0 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Cagliari | 1:2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Roma | 2:1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Bologna | 1:0 | W |