Aston Villa vs Leeds
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
50.1%
Aston Villa to win
±14.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
50.06%
±14.3%
|
1.86 | -6.9% |
| Draw |
28.25%
±4.07%
|
3.60 | +1.7% |
| Leeds wins |
21.69%
±10.51%
|
4.17 | -9.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Leeds
Shots
14.1
11.5
Shots On Target
4.5
4.2
Corners
5.8
5.2
Fouls
9.6
9.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Leeds
Shots
13.1
14.1
Shots On Target
5.1
4.4
Corners
4.9
6.0
Fouls
12.9
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
3.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
4Draws
2Leeds Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 1:2 |
| 13 Jan 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Oct 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 10 Mar 2022 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 |
| 9 Feb 2022 | Draw | 3:3 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:4 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |