Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia wins |
44.63%
±15.52%
|
2.40 | +7.1% |
| Draw |
28.3%
±3.23%
|
3.08 | -13.0% |
| Alverca wins |
27.07%
±12.7%
|
3.00 | -18.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Alverca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Casa Pia
Alverca
Shots
9.6
9.6
Shots On Target
3.3
3.6
Corners
4.1
2.9
Fouls
15.3
14.3
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 3:5 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 4:0 | L |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 2:1 | L |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:4 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | AVS | 1:3 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |