Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln wins |
61.56%
±13.08%
|
1.56 | -4.0% |
| Draw |
23.74%
±5.07%
|
3.80 | -9.8% |
| Burton wins |
14.7%
±8.16%
|
5.38 | -21.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lincoln
Burton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lincoln
Burton
Shots
13.6
10.5
Shots On Target
4.7
3.5
Corners
4.9
4.7
Fouls
12.4
9.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lincoln
Burton
Shots
10.6
13.2
Shots On Target
2.8
3.8
Corners
4.1
5.8
Fouls
9.1
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lincoln Wins
5Draws
0Burton Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Lincoln Win | 0:1 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Burton Win | 0:1 |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Lincoln Win | 2:3 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Lincoln Win | 0:1 |
| 14 Oct 2023 | Burton Win | 0:1 |
Lincoln - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Luton | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Peterboro | 5:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 0:2 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Stockport | 1:2 | W |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Reading | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wigan | 0:2 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Northampton | 5:1 | W |