Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins |
50.99%
±14.44%
|
1.85 | -5.9% |
| Draw |
26.99%
±4%
|
3.50 | -5.5% |
| Swansea wins |
22.03%
±10.7%
|
4.20 | -7.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stoke
Swansea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Stoke
Swansea
Shots
10.9
11.7
Shots On Target
3.9
3.7
Corners
5.1
5.3
Fouls
11.7
9.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stoke
Swansea
Shots
12.5
10.8
Shots On Target
4.0
4.1
Corners
5.8
4.4
Fouls
13.9
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stoke Wins
4Draws
3Swansea Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Stoke Win | 3:1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 10 Apr 2024 | Swansea Win | 3:0 |
| 12 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 21 Feb 2023 | Stoke Win | 1:3 |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 4:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Hull | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Charlton | 3:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Oxford | 2:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | West Brom | 3:2 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Derby | 1:2 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bristol City | 3:0 | L |