Southampton vs Birmingham
Final Result
3:1
Southampton to win
Our Prediction
Correct
39.3%
Southampton to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins |
39.27%
±14.46%
|
2.28 | -10.7% |
| Draw |
28.65%
±2.17%
|
3.45 | -1.1% |
| Birmingham wins |
32.08%
±12.93%
|
2.93 | -6.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Southampton
Birmingham
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Southampton
Birmingham
Shots
14.3
14.6
Shots On Target
6.1
4.7
Corners
5.2
5.1
Fouls
9.1
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Southampton
Birmingham
Shots
18.0
11.5
Shots On Target
7.5
3.0
Corners
10.0
5.0
Fouls
7.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
0.5
3.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Southampton Wins
2Draws
0Birmingham Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2024 | Southampton Win | 3:4 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Southampton Win | 3:1 |
Southampton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 3:2 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Leicester | 3:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Charlton | 1:5 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 3:1 | W |
| 5 Nov 2025 | QPR | 1:2 | W |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2025 | Watford | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Nov 2025 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Norwich | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 4:0 | W |