Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS wins |
31.35%
±13.93%
|
3.23 | +1.1% |
| Draw |
27.51%
±1.61%
|
3.25 | -10.6% |
| Nacional wins |
41.15%
±14.3%
|
2.20 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AVS
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AVS
Nacional
Shots
9.9
11.5
Shots On Target
3.3
3.9
Corners
3.0
3.4
Fouls
14.8
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.3
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AVS
Nacional
Shots
15.0
11.5
Shots On Target
3.0
4.5
Corners
5.0
3.0
Fouls
11.0
12.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AVS Wins
0Draws
1Nacional Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Nacional Win | 3:1 |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
AVS - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 6:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:2 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 4:0 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Tondela | 2:2 | D |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |