Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena wins |
71.86%
±11.2%
|
1.52 | +9.2% |
| Draw |
18.06%
±4.99%
|
4.00 | -27.7% |
| Padova wins |
10.08%
±6.29%
|
5.88 | -40.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Modena
Padova
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Modena
Padova
Shots
14.1
11.8
Shots On Target
4.7
4.0
Corners
5.5
4.2
Fouls
15.8
15.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Modena
Padova
Shots
32.0
8.0
Shots On Target
6.0
6.0
Corners
12.0
3.0
Fouls
13.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Modena Wins
0Draws
0Padova Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Padova Win | 2:0 |
Modena - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 1:2 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Carrarese | 2:0 | W |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Venezia | 0:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sampdoria | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Empoli | 0:0 | D |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Bari | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Sampdoria | 1:0 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Carrarese | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 3:3 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Monza | 1:2 | L |