RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
Final Result
1:5
Bayern Munich to win
Our Prediction
Correct
72.2%
Bayern Munich to win
±9.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig wins |
7.17%
±4.97%
|
4.88 | -65.0% |
| Draw |
20.58%
±5%
|
4.78 | -1.7% |
| Bayern Munich wins |
72.25%
±9.86%
|
1.56 | +12.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Shots
16.5
19.9
Shots On Target
6.7
8.2
Corners
5.4
6.5
Fouls
8.9
7.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Shots
10.4
15.4
Shots On Target
3.8
5.9
Corners
3.2
5.1
Fouls
11.3
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
RB Leipzig Wins
1Draws
3Bayern Munich Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | Bayern Munich Win | 6:0 |
| 3 May 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Bayern Munich Win | 5:1 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Bayern Munich Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leverkusen | 1:3 | L |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Union Berlin | 3:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 6:0 | W |
| 28 Nov 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
Bayern Munich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 1:3 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 8:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Heidenheim | 0:4 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Mainz | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Stuttgart | 0:5 | W |