Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
43.63%
±14.77%
|
2.15 | -6.2% |
| Draw |
30.22%
±3.27%
|
3.10 | -6.3% |
| Roma wins |
26.15%
±11.92%
|
3.73 | -2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Roma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Roma
Shots
13.8
13.9
Shots On Target
4.4
5.2
Corners
4.1
5.9
Fouls
9.7
14.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Roma
Shots
14.1
12.6
Shots On Target
6.2
4.8
Corners
4.6
5.1
Fouls
12.2
13.7
Yellow Cards
3.3
3.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
5Draws
4Roma Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2025 | Roma Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Milan Win | 3:1 |
| 1 Sep 2023 | Milan Win | 1:2 |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Atalanta | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Fiorentina | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Juventus | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Napoli | 2:1 | W |
Roma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Parma | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sassuolo | 0:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Fiorentina | 1:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Verona | 2:0 | W |