Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Final Result
1:2
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
45.7%
Chelsea to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
45.66%
±14.46%
|
1.83 | -16.4% |
| Draw |
30.36%
±3.68%
|
3.90 | +18.4% |
| Aston Villa wins |
23.99%
±11.13%
|
3.95 | -5.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Shots
14.9
12.1
Shots On Target
5.4
4.9
Corners
4.8
4.8
Fouls
12.8
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Shots
15.9
11.1
Shots On Target
5.6
4.2
Corners
5.8
4.7
Fouls
13.5
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
4Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Chelsea Win | 3:0 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 0:2 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Leeds | 3:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Man United | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 3:4 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 1:0 | W |