Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia wins |
44.47%
±14.74%
|
2.05 | -8.6% |
| Draw |
28.79%
±3.18%
|
3.08 | -11.5% |
| Estrela wins |
26.74%
±11.98%
|
3.75 | +0.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Casa Pia
Estrela
Shots
9.6
11.8
Shots On Target
3.0
3.3
Corners
4.0
4.1
Fouls
15.4
13.8
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Estrela
Shots
10.8
13.0
Shots On Target
3.8
4.8
Corners
4.8
4.5
Fouls
16.0
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
2Draws
0Estrela Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 1:0 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 0:1 |
| 8 Mar 2024 | Estrela Win | 3:1 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Estrela Win | 0:1 |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 4:0 | L |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Arouca | 0:2 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | AVS | 3:0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Tondela | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:2 | L |