Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins |
80.32%
±8.39%
|
1.17 | -6.0% |
| Draw |
15.13%
±5.21%
|
6.25 | -5.4% |
| Estrela wins |
4.55%
±3.23%
|
14.25 | -35.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Porto
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Porto
Estrela
Shots
13.5
11.8
Shots On Target
5.5
3.9
Corners
5.1
3.2
Fouls
12.8
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Porto
Estrela
Shots
12.7
6.7
Shots On Target
4.7
1.0
Corners
8.3
6.7
Fouls
16.7
14.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Porto Wins
3Draws
0Estrela Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | Estrela Win | 2:0 |
| 16 Dec 2024 | Porto Win | 2:0 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Porto Win | 2:0 |
| 15 Sep 2023 | Porto Win | 0:1 |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 0:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 1:2 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 3:5 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:2 | L |