Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln wins |
46.97%
±14.92%
|
2.15 | +1.0% |
| Draw |
27.73%
±3.47%
|
3.60 | -0.2% |
| Mainz wins |
25.3%
±11.8%
|
3.18 | -19.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
FC Koln
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
FC Koln
Mainz
Shots
12.7
9.2
Shots On Target
4.8
2.8
Corners
3.2
4.1
Fouls
7.7
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
FC Koln
Mainz
Shots
12.5
12.3
Shots On Target
4.4
4.2
Corners
4.2
5.6
Fouls
12.7
14.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
FC Koln Wins
3Draws
5Mainz Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | FC Koln Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Mainz Win | 5:0 |
FC Koln - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 1:3 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Union Berlin | 0:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Leverkusen | 2:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 1:1 | D |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:1 | L |