Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena wins |
48.35%
±14.89%
|
2.34 | +12.9% |
| Draw |
26.22%
±3.36%
|
3.05 | -20.0% |
| Palermo wins |
25.43%
±11.86%
|
3.15 | -19.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Modena
Palermo
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Modena
Palermo
Shots
18.3
15.2
Shots On Target
6.0
4.6
Corners
7.2
5.2
Fouls
14.0
15.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Modena
Palermo
Shots
14.3
13.0
Shots On Target
3.4
5.7
Corners
6.6
5.1
Fouls
12.1
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Modena Wins
0Draws
2Palermo Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Palermo Win | 2:0 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Palermo Win | 4:2 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Palermo Win | 0:2 |
Modena - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Pescara | 0:2 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Padova | 2:0 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Monza | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Venezia | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Spezia | 0:2 | W |
Palermo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Spezia | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mantova | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Padova | 1:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Avellino | 2:2 | D |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Sampdoria | 1:0 | W |