Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins |
27.18%
±12.24%
|
2.80 | -23.9% |
| Draw |
32.12%
±1.9%
|
3.28 | +5.2% |
| Newcastle wins |
40.7%
±13.17%
|
2.57 | +4.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Everton
Newcastle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Everton
Newcastle
Shots
10.7
11.4
Shots On Target
3.2
3.9
Corners
4.2
5.3
Fouls
11.2
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Everton
Newcastle
Shots
11.3
15.4
Shots On Target
3.5
5.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.4
8.3
Fouls
12.2
9.1
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Everton Wins
3Draws
2Newcastle Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2025 | Everton Win | 0:1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 2 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 Dec 2023 | Everton Win | 3:0 |
| 27 Apr 2023 | Newcastle Win | 1:4 |
Everton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 | Man United | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Fulham | 2:0 | W |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 0:3 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Man City | 2:0 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Man City | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Brighton | 2:1 | L |