Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins |
32.19%
±13.51%
|
2.64 | -15.0% |
| Draw |
31.61%
±1.72%
|
3.10 | -2.0% |
| Milan wins |
36.2%
±13.25%
|
2.84 | +2.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Roma
Milan
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Roma
Milan
Shots
13.0
14.7
Shots On Target
4.5
4.8
Corners
3.9
5.8
Fouls
14.7
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Roma
Milan
Shots
14.3
14.7
Shots On Target
5.2
6.3
Corners
5.3
4.8
Fouls
13.4
12.4
Yellow Cards
3.9
3.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Roma Wins
1Draws
3Milan Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Milan Win | 1:0 |
| 18 May 2025 | Roma Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Milan Win | 3:1 |
| 1 Sep 2023 | Milan Win | 1:2 |
Roma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Torino | 0:2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Genoa | 3:1 | W |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:0 | W |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Como | 1:3 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 0:1 | W |