Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dresden wins |
28.98%
±13.03%
|
3.20 | -7.3% |
| Draw |
27.22%
±1.71%
|
3.90 | +6.1% |
| Paderborn wins |
43.8%
±13.88%
|
2.05 | -10.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dresden
Paderborn
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dresden
Paderborn
Shots
13.9
17.2
Shots On Target
3.8
5.8
Corners
4.6
5.4
Fouls
12.4
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dresden
Paderborn
Shots
12.5
14.0
Shots On Target
5.0
4.5
Corners
7.0
4.5
Fouls
6.5
7.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dresden Wins
0Draws
1Paderborn Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Paderborn Win | 0:3 |
Dresden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Preußen Münster | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Karlsruhe | 3:3 | D |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Darmstadt | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Hannover | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Elversberg | 2:2 | D |
Paderborn - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bielefeld | 4:3 | W |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Braunschweig | 1:2 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Hertha | 0:2 | W |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Bochum | 1:0 | W |