Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin wins |
39.27%
±14.04%
|
2.05 | -19.5% |
| Draw |
32.33%
±2.71%
|
3.45 | +11.5% |
| Dumbarton wins |
28.4%
±11.89%
|
2.95 | -16.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Elgin
Dumbarton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Elgin
Dumbarton
Shots
10.9
7.5
Shots On Target
5.1
3.8
Corners
6.9
5.9
Fouls
12.5
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Elgin
Dumbarton
Shots
9.4
7.9
Shots On Target
4.0
3.4
Corners
4.0
4.1
Fouls
12.1
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Elgin Wins
3Draws
2Dumbarton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Dumbarton Win | 0:1 |
| 18 Nov 2023 | Dumbarton Win | 1:0 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Elgin Win | 2:0 |
Elgin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Edinburgh City | 1:3 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Annan Athletic | 2:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | East Kilbride | 3:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Forfar | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Spartans | 2:3 | L |
Dumbarton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Annan Athletic | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Clyde | 3:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Spartans | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Stirling | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stranraer | 1:2 | L |