Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
18.78%
±10.25%
|
4.42 | -17.1% |
| Draw |
26.68%
±3.39%
|
3.85 | +2.7% |
| Brentford wins |
54.55%
±13.32%
|
1.74 | -5.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Brentford
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Brentford
Shots
10.2
11.8
Shots On Target
2.5
4.1
Corners
3.1
4.8
Fouls
10.1
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Brentford
Shots
10.2
14.2
Shots On Target
3.2
5.6
Corners
5.8
3.6
Fouls
10.0
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.2
Red Cards
0.4
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
2Draws
0Brentford Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Brentford Win | 3:1 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Burnley Win | 2:1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Brentford Win | 3:0 |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Brentford Win | 2:0 |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Burnley Win | 3:1 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:3 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | West Ham | 0:2 | L |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
Brentford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 0:2 | L |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:3 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | L |