Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins |
17.76%
±9.63%
|
5.75 | +2.1% |
| Draw |
26.97%
±3.55%
|
4.15 | +11.9% |
| Lille wins |
55.26%
±12.9%
|
1.57 | -13.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Metz
Lille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Metz
Lille
Shots
9.7
11.1
Shots On Target
3.5
4.4
Corners
4.0
5.0
Fouls
10.0
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Metz
Lille
Shots
9.1
15.6
Shots On Target
3.3
6.0
Corners
4.1
6.1
Fouls
12.9
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Metz Wins
0Draws
2Lille Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Lille Win | 6:1 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Lille Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Lille Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Feb 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 Aug 2021 | Draw | 3:3 |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Angers | 1:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2:5 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris SG | 2:3 | L |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Lyon | 1:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:4 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Paris SG | 3:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rennes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:4 | W |