Napoli vs Fiorentina
Final Result
2:1
Napoli to win
Our Prediction
Correct
54.3%
Napoli to win
±14.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins |
54.26%
±14.2%
|
1.79 | -3.1% |
| Draw |
27.72%
±4.91%
|
3.55 | -1.6% |
| Fiorentina wins |
18.02%
±9.51%
|
4.75 | -14.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Napoli
Fiorentina
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Napoli
Fiorentina
Shots
11.8
16.3
Shots On Target
3.6
4.6
Corners
5.1
4.8
Fouls
9.9
11.9
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Napoli
Fiorentina
Shots
14.2
11.9
Shots On Target
5.3
3.3
Corners
3.4
4.5
Fouls
11.5
14.1
Yellow Cards
1.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Napoli Wins
6Draws
2Fiorentina Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Napoli Win | 1:3 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Napoli Win | 2:1 |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Napoli Win | 0:3 |
| 17 May 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Fiorentina Win | 1:3 |
Napoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 3:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Parma | 0:0 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Inter | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Verona | 2:2 | D |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Bologna | 1:2 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Milan | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Cremonese | 1:0 | W |