English League One 23 Oct 2025 16:00 Match Finished

Exeter vs Plymouth

Final Result

2:0

Exeter to win

Rating Change

Exeter -3.6
Plymouth +3.4
Our Prediction Missed
37.8% Plymouth to win

±13.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Exeter wins
33.53% ±13.79%
2.73 -8.6%
Draw
28.67% ±1.6%
3.40 -2.5%
Plymouth wins
37.81% ±13.53%
2.36 -10.8%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Exeter
Plymouth

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Exeter
Plymouth
Shots 8.5 11.7
Shots On Target 2.7 4.1
Corners 4.7 5.9
Fouls 12.7 9.8
Yellow Cards 1.9 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Exeter
Plymouth
Shots 9.5 9.5
Shots On Target 3.5 3.5
Corners 5.5 6.5
Fouls 12.5 5.5
Yellow Cards 1.0 1.5
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Exeter Wins

0

Draws

0

Plymouth Wins

2
Date Result Score
15 Apr 2023 Plymouth Win 0:1
31 Oct 2022 Plymouth Win 4:2

Exeter - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
18 Oct 2025 Stockport 1:0 L
11 Oct 2025 Reading 1:1 D
4 Oct 2025 Lincoln 0:1 W
27 Sep 2025 Huddersfield 0:1 L
20 Sep 2025 Stevenage 2:1 L

Plymouth - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
18 Oct 2025 AFC Wimbledon 1:2 L
4 Oct 2025 Wigan 1:1 D
27 Sep 2025 Burton 0:4 W
20 Sep 2025 Peterboro 0:1 L
13 Sep 2025 Luton 2:3 W