English Premier League 4 Mar 2026 15:15 Match Finished

Newcastle vs Man United

Our Prediction Missed
39.5% Man United to win

±13.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Newcastle wins
30.05% ±13.18%
2.54 -23.7%
Draw
30.48% ±1.68%
3.63 +10.5%
Man United wins
39.47% ±13.57%
2.58 +1.6%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Newcastle
Man United

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Newcastle
Man United
Shots 15.2 15.7
Shots On Target 5.5 6.1
Corners 7.7 4.2
Fouls 9.4 9.0
Yellow Cards 2.2 1.2
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Newcastle
Man United
Shots 15.0 12.4
Shots On Target 5.0 3.9
Hit On Woodwork 0.0 0.0
Corners 5.7 4.3
Fouls 7.6 11.1
Free Kicks Conceded 0.0 0.0
Offsides 0.0 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.2 1.8
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Newcastle Wins

4

Draws

2

Man United Wins

4
Date Result Score
26 Dec 2025 Man United Win 1:0
13 Apr 2025 Newcastle Win 4:1
30 Dec 2024 Newcastle Win 0:2
15 May 2024 Man United Win 3:2
2 Dec 2023 Newcastle Win 1:0

Newcastle - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
28 Feb 2026 Everton 2:3 L
21 Feb 2026 Man City 2:1 L
10 Feb 2026 Tottenham 1:2 W
7 Feb 2026 Brentford 2:3 L
31 Jan 2026 Liverpool 4:1 L

Man United - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Mar 2026 Crystal Palace 2:1 W
23 Feb 2026 Everton 0:1 W
10 Feb 2026 West Ham 1:1 D
7 Feb 2026 Tottenham 2:0 W
1 Feb 2026 Fulham 3:2 W