Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
47.39%
±15.24%
|
2.18 | +3.1% |
| Draw |
27.73%
±3.59%
|
3.23 | -10.6% |
| Casa Pia wins |
24.88%
±11.98%
|
3.35 | -16.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Casa Pia
Shots
12.7
8.3
Shots On Target
3.9
2.8
Corners
4.6
4.8
Fouls
16.0
15.2
Yellow Cards
3.5
3.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Alverca | 0:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 3:5 | L |