Derby vs Sheffield Weds
Final Result
2:1
Derby to win
Our Prediction
Correct
75.1%
Derby to win
±10.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
75.08%
±10.35%
|
1.26 | -5.4% |
| Draw |
16.63%
±5%
|
5.50 | -8.5% |
| Sheffield Weds wins |
8.29%
±5.42%
|
11.00 | -8.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Sheffield Weds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Sheffield Weds
Shots
12.5
5.8
Shots On Target
4.2
1.4
Corners
4.0
4.2
Fouls
12.3
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Sheffield Weds
Shots
12.6
10.4
Shots On Target
5.0
3.9
Corners
6.1
4.1
Fouls
10.8
9.8
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
2Draws
2Sheffield Weds Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Derby Win | 0:3 |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Sheffield Weds Win | 4:2 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Sheffield Weds Win | 1:2 |
| 7 May 2023 | Sheffield Weds Win | 1:0 |
| 3 Dec 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Blackburn | 3:1 | W |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Hull | 4:2 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Watford | 2:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Swansea | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Ipswich | 1:2 | L |
Sheffield Weds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Southampton | 1:3 | L |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Norwich | 2:0 | L |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Sheffield United | 2:1 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Millwall | 1:2 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Swansea | 4:0 | L |