Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
15.51%
±8.78%
|
5.38 | -16.6% |
| Draw |
26.65%
±4.02%
|
4.05 | +7.9% |
| Newcastle wins |
57.83%
±12.56%
|
1.61 | -7.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Newcastle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Newcastle
Shots
10.0
12.6
Shots On Target
3.4
4.9
Corners
4.6
6.7
Fouls
9.7
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Newcastle
Shots
11.9
16.0
Shots On Target
3.0
6.2
Corners
6.4
6.8
Fouls
11.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
0Draws
1Newcastle Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Newcastle Win | 2:1 |
| 4 May 2024 | Newcastle Win | 1:4 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Newcastle Win | 2:0 |
| 22 May 2022 | Newcastle Win | 1:2 |
| 4 Dec 2021 | Newcastle Win | 1:0 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 2:3 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:1 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | Man United | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |