Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
28.96%
±13.13%
|
2.97 | -13.8% |
| Draw |
26.63%
±1.72%
|
3.20 | -14.8% |
| Almeria wins |
44.41%
±14.02%
|
2.30 | +2.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Almeria
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Malaga
Almeria
Shots
13.5
15.0
Shots On Target
5.5
6.4
Corners
4.0
5.3
Fouls
12.5
14.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Malaga
Almeria
Shots
11.4
12.3
Shots On Target
3.3
4.7
Corners
4.6
3.9
Fouls
14.7
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Malaga Wins
0Draws
3Almeria Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Almeria Win | 0:1 |
| 4 Sep 2021 | Almeria Win | 2:0 |
| 30 Mar 2021 | Almeria Win | 0:3 |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Albacete | 1:3 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Zaragoza | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Valladolid | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Mirandes | 3:2 | W |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Cultural Leonesa | 1:0 | L |
Almeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Burgos | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Andorra | 1:2 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Huesca | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Ceuta | 3:2 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Leganes | 0:3 | W |