Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Final Result
1:0
Freiburg to win
Our Prediction
Correct
49.2%
Freiburg to win
±14.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins |
49.22%
±14.61%
|
1.83 | -10.2% |
| Draw |
27.05%
±3.66%
|
3.75 | +1.4% |
| Werder Bremen wins |
23.73%
±11.24%
|
4.15 | -1.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Shots
14.2
14.0
Shots On Target
4.8
3.5
Corners
4.4
5.0
Fouls
10.7
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Shots
13.9
12.2
Shots On Target
5.0
3.5
Corners
3.8
4.3
Fouls
11.7
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Freiburg Wins
6Draws
2Werder Bremen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Freiburg Win | 0:3 |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Freiburg Win | 5:0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Freiburg Win | 0:1 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Werder Bremen Win | 3:1 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Freiburg Win | 1:0 |
Freiburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 2:1 | W |
Werder Bremen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 0:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:0 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:3 | D |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 3:0 | L |