Africa Cup of Nations 21 Dec 2025 19:00 Match Finished

Mali vs Zambia

Final Result

1:1

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Mali -1.2

Zambia +1.7

Our Prediction Missed

66.5% Mali to win

±15.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome	Probability	Odds	EV
Mali wins	66.52% ±15.95%	1.85	+23.1%
Draw	22.15% ±6.99%	3.65	-19.1%
Zambia wins	11.33% ±8.99%	6.46	-26.8%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Mali

Zambia

Head-to-Head History

Mali Wins

0

Draws

0

Zambia Wins

1

Date	Result	Score
18 Jun 2005	Zambia Win	2:1

Mali - Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
18 Nov 2025	Jordan	0:0	D
5 Jun 2025	DR Congo	1:0	L
19 Nov 2024	Eswatini	6:0	W
15 Nov 2024	Mozambique	0:1	W
15 Oct 2024	Guinea-Bissau	0:0	D

Zambia - Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
16 Dec 2025	DR Congo	2:0	L
15 Nov 2025	South Africa	3:1	L
25 Mar 2025	Russia	5:0	L
19 Nov 2024	Sierra Leone	0:2	W
15 Nov 2024	Ivory Coast	1:0	W