Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund wins |
70.24%
±11.11%
|
1.34 | -6.2% |
| Draw |
20.76%
±5.63%
|
5.25 | +9.0% |
| St Pauli wins |
9%
±5.57%
|
9.25 | -16.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dortmund
St Pauli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dortmund
St Pauli
Shots
13.1
9.1
Shots On Target
4.7
2.4
Corners
5.2
5.0
Fouls
10.7
8.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dortmund
St Pauli
Shots
14.0
9.3
Shots On Target
5.7
3.7
Corners
3.3
4.3
Fouls
11.0
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund Wins
2Draws
1St Pauli Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Dortmund Win | 0:2 |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Dortmund Win | 2:1 |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 3:0 | W |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:3 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Freiburg | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Hoffenheim | 2:0 | W |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Mainz | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Bayern Munich | 3:1 | L |