English Championship 21 Jan 2026 15:00 Match Finished

Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Our Prediction Correct
38.5% Middlesbrough to win

±13.3%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Stoke wins
31.14% ±13.17%
2.95 -8.1%
Draw
30.35% ±1.6%
3.30 +0.2%
Middlesbrough wins
38.51% ±13.31%
2.35 -9.5%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Stoke
Middlesbrough

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Stoke
Middlesbrough
Shots 9.9 17.3
Shots On Target 3.4 4.8
Corners 6.0 7.6
Fouls 11.5 8.5
Yellow Cards 2.2 1.0
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Stoke
Middlesbrough
Shots 11.5 12.2
Shots On Target 3.7 3.8
Corners 5.0 5.1
Fouls 11.7 7.9
Yellow Cards 2.3 1.4
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Stoke Wins

2

Draws

4

Middlesbrough Wins

4
Date Result Score
30 Sep 2025 Draw 0:0
25 Feb 2025 Middlesbrough Win 1:3
28 Sep 2024 Middlesbrough Win 2:0
2 Mar 2024 Stoke Win 2:0
28 Oct 2023 Stoke Win 0:2

Stoke - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 Jan 2026 QPR 0:0 D
4 Jan 2026 Norwich 0:2 W
1 Jan 2026 Hull 0:1 W
29 Dec 2025 Sheffield United 1:2 L
26 Dec 2025 Preston 0:0 D

Middlesbrough - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
16 Jan 2026 West Brom 2:3 W
4 Jan 2026 Southampton 4:0 W
1 Jan 2026 Derby 1:0 L
29 Dec 2025 Hull 0:1 L
26 Dec 2025 Blackburn 0:0 D