AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
70.3%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±11.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
70.27%
±11.94%
|
1.31 | -8.3% |
| Draw |
19.21%
±5.32%
|
6.00 | +15.2% |
| Excelsior wins |
10.53%
±6.72%
|
8.38 | -11.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Shots
14.8
11.9
Shots On Target
6.1
4.2
Corners
6.6
4.3
Fouls
10.0
12.7
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Shots
16.2
7.5
Shots On Target
8.2
2.0
Corners
7.2
1.5
Fouls
8.5
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
2Draws
1Excelsior Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 4:0 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 10 Feb 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 5:0 |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Excelsior Win | 2:1 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 3:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 4:3 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:2 | D |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Twente | 1:0 | L |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 5:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Groningen | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:0 | W |