Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth wins |
26.19%
±12.29%
|
2.93 | -23.4% |
| Draw |
29.01%
±2.06%
|
3.60 | +4.4% |
| Cardiff wins |
44.8%
±13.64%
|
2.18 | -2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Plymouth
Cardiff
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Plymouth
Cardiff
Shots
16.2
14.0
Shots On Target
5.6
5.5
Corners
6.9
6.0
Fouls
11.4
9.2
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Plymouth
Cardiff
Shots
11.2
15.0
Shots On Target
3.4
6.2
Corners
2.8
6.4
Fouls
9.4
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Plymouth Wins
1Draws
2Cardiff Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Cardiff Win | 4:0 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Cardiff Win | 5:0 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Plymouth Win | 3:1 |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Plymouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Blackpool | 0:4 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Lincoln | 1:4 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Mansfield | 1:1 | D |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 4:1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Luton | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 0:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burton | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnsley | 4:0 | W |