Union Berlin vs Dortmund
Final Result
0:3
Dortmund to win
Our Prediction
Correct
51.9%
Dortmund to win
±12.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins |
18.47%
±9.83%
|
3.65 | -32.6% |
| Draw |
29.65%
±3.47%
|
3.50 | +3.8% |
| Dortmund wins |
51.88%
±12.94%
|
2.03 | +5.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Shots
13.7
11.4
Shots On Target
3.7
4.4
Corners
5.2
4.0
Fouls
12.2
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Shots
10.4
13.9
Shots On Target
3.7
6.6
Corners
4.2
5.1
Fouls
12.7
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Union Berlin Wins
2Draws
0Dortmund Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Dortmund Win | 3:0 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Dortmund Win | 6:0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Union Berlin Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Dortmund Win | 0:2 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Dortmund Win | 4:2 |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Mainz | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 0:1 | W |
| 12 Dec 2025 | RB Leipzig | 3:1 | W |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 3:2 | W |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 3:0 | W |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:3 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Freiburg | 1:1 | D |