St Pauli vs RB Leipzig
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
57%
RB Leipzig to win
±12.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Pauli wins |
15.1%
±8.8%
|
4.45 | -32.8% |
| Draw |
27.9%
±4.28%
|
3.50 | -2.4% |
| RB Leipzig wins |
57%
±12.84%
|
1.82 | +3.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
RB Leipzig
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
St Pauli
RB Leipzig
Shots
8.9
16.8
Shots On Target
2.9
6.7
Corners
4.8
5.3
Fouls
9.7
8.2
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
RB Leipzig
Shots
11.0
10.5
Shots On Target
4.0
5.5
Corners
3.5
3.0
Fouls
7.0
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
0Draws
1RB Leipzig Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2025 | RB Leipzig Win | 2:0 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 3:2 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Mainz | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 1:5 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leverkusen | 1:3 | L |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Union Berlin | 3:1 | L |