Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins |
38.55%
±14.2%
|
2.33 | -10.4% |
| Draw |
29.91%
±2.21%
|
3.20 | -4.3% |
| Stoke wins |
31.54%
±12.66%
|
3.03 | -4.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Millwall
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Millwall
Stoke
Shots
12.8
12.8
Shots On Target
3.2
4.4
Corners
4.8
6.5
Fouls
14.5
9.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Millwall
Stoke
Shots
9.1
12.7
Shots On Target
2.9
2.8
Corners
3.8
6.6
Fouls
12.5
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Millwall Wins
6Draws
3Stoke Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Millwall Win | 1:0 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Millwall Win | 1:0 |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Millwall Win | 0:1 |
Millwall - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | QPR | 1:2 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | West Brom | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Coventry | 0:4 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Swansea | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Watford | 1:0 | W |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Middlesbrough | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Norwich | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | QPR | 1:0 | L |